post WS lottery statistics (2023)

Triggered by recent article in UR magazine on how hard getting into WS and HR lotteries have become, I wanted to capture actual results after WS lottery.

Its interesting to see after 9 years all 5 have gotten,  unless lottery format is changed its just going to be pushed out even further in upcoming years. one suggestion a friend made was to have 2 years worth of qualifiers before one applies, that eliminates 50% of the entrants and improves odds for the rest.

Total WS entrants

Tickets         Entrants        odds(%)

1               3,560           1

2               1,578           2

4               731             3.96

8               525             7.76

16              374             14.9

32              232             27.6

64              127             47.64

128             37              72.56

256             5               92.43

Actual WS entrants:

Tickets Actual/Applied Years 

 1 Ticket 29/3560      1

 2 Tickets 29/1578a    2

 4 Tickets 22/731      3

 8 Tickets 38/525a     4

 16 Tickets 69/374a    5

 32 Tickets 64/232a    6

 64 Tickets 57/127     7

 128 Tickets 33/37     8

 256 Tickets 5/5       9

Details of HR lottery are here:

https://www.irunfar.com/2023-hardrock-100-lottery-results

WS statistics here:

https://www.wser.org/2022/12/02/2023-lottery-statistics/

Lottery results here:

https://lottery.wser.org/