Triggered by recent article in UR magazine on how hard getting into WS and HR lotteries have become, I wanted to capture actual results after WS lottery.
Its interesting to see after 9 years all 5 have gotten, unless lottery format is changed its just going to be pushed out even further in upcoming years. one suggestion a friend made was to have 2 years worth of qualifiers before one applies, that eliminates 50% of the entrants and improves odds for the rest.
Total WS entrants
Tickets Entrants odds(%)
1 3,560 1
2 1,578 2
4 731 3.96
8 525 7.76
16 374 14.9
32 232 27.6
64 127 47.64
128 37 72.56
256 5 92.43
Actual WS entrants:
Tickets Actual/Applied Years
1 Ticket 29/3560 1
2 Tickets 29/1578a 2
4 Tickets 22/731 3
8 Tickets 38/525a 4
16 Tickets 69/374a 5
32 Tickets 64/232a 6
64 Tickets 57/127 7
128 Tickets 33/37 8
256 Tickets 5/5 9
Details of HR lottery are here:
https://www.irunfar.com/2023-hardrock-100-lottery-results
WS statistics here:
https://www.wser.org/2022/12/02/2023-lottery-statistics/
Lottery results here:
https://lottery.wser.org/
